NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30dc5cb9c881e6ebc72b17409020f35f9b251fc3ec56a56c13da4c8a50a7c1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Over | 56c | 6,651$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.87 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 44c | 4,017$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.9 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 3,740$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.46 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 3,111$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.83 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 54c | 1,978$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.31 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 56c | 1,615$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Under | 46c | 1,513$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 46c | 1,071$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.17 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Under | 47c | 873.6$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 54c | 709.79$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.29 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Under | 46c | 643.04$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.24 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 46c | 405.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.16 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 46c | 389.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 55c | 345.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 56c | 340.12$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 38c | 294.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…154cbacked Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 56c | 249.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75a…67c4backed Over | 55c | 203$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 17c | 195.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Over | 56c | 169.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under | 44c | 157$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…4c1ebacked Over | 57c | 151.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 45c | 124.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Under | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 55c | 113.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 111.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 58c | 107$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 58c | 106$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…c25fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 64.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 55c | 58.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cef…8634backed Over | 54c | 53.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 43c | 52.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 45c | 49.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 47.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 46c | 46.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 44.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…0fa6backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 57c | 43.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…6043backed Over | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…9cdabacked Under | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 29.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Under | 73c | 17.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.