TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9bf…e5d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.49
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$59.94
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$81.59
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$30.2
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$29.83
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.28
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.8
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$49.6
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.19
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.57
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.49
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.78
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.45
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$29.59
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$21.86
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$26.33
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.96
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$60.75
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+400%+$52.8
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$62.85
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$38.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$65.01
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.44
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.92
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$49.59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.72
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.07
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.26
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.05
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$117.04
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.6
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$41.58
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$46.69
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.76
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Jointbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watsonbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$45.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$21.42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$78.75
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$62.48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.82
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$56.17
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$41.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.