CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x833f8ca25075619e9a499a6652217a84d561b8cbca783cf50fb57231b356b765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.96 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked magic | 36c | 27,268$9,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,908.07 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed magic | 38c | 19,262$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.41 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 17,400$10,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,608 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 62c | 17,000$10,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.97 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked magic | 39c | 10,026$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.11 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed magic | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 9,290$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.84 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed magic | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.97 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons | 61c | 7,351$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.72 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 7,257$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.64 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 6,500$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked magic | 39c | 4,500$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.73 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked magic | 39c | 4,500$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed magic | 38c | 4,117$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed magic | 36c | 3,814$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.01 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 62c | 3,626$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.57 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,029$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.3 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked magic | 38c | 2,472$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.64 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed magic | 39c | 2,410$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.9 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed magic | 34c | 2,396$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.19 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 80c | 2,340$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.07 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed magic | 39c | 2,179$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.81 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked magic | 39c | 2,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed magic | 38c | 2,000$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked magic | 38c | 1,971$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.98 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed magic | 36c | 1,960$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.98 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,873$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.44 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed magic | 38c | 1,873$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked magic | 38c | 1,826$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.9 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked magic | 39c | 1,803$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.51 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked magic | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed magic | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.99 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked magic | 34c | 1,616$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.68 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.27 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,562$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.15 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,549$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.89 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked magic | 38c | 1,300$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.2 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked magic | 38c | 1,280$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed magic | 38c | 1,279$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,276$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,227$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.87 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked magic | 17c | 1,166$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked magic | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed magic | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed magic | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed magic | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed magic | 38c | 949.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.1 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 33c | 900$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked magic | 38c | 888$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Team Falcons | 64c | 852.04$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Team Falcons | 63c | 808.47$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked magic | 39c | 765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed magic | 39c | 744.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.45 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked magic | 42c | 730.21$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 720.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.61 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Team Falcons | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…a45cbacked magic | 39c | 676.43$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed magic | 37c | 607.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed magic | 37c | 581.08$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked magic | 38c | 574.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.49 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed magic | 39c | 574.24$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Falcons | 62c | 555$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Team Falcons | 78c | 554.74$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked magic | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Team Falcons | 66c | 549.27$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…fcdabacked Team Falcons | 64c | 509.06$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 39c | 505.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Falcons | 61c | 492$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Falcons | 60c | 481.51$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Team Falcons | 63c | 476.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 459.8$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.53 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 409.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked magic | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 390.22$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked magic | 39c | 390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed magic | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Falcons | 62c | 354.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Team Falcons | 61c | 326.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 316.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed Team Falcons | 63c | 313.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 310.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked magic | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked magic | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Team Falcons | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Team Falcons | 62c | 290$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed magic | 40c | 290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed magic | 38c | 260.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons | 57c | 260$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Falcons | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Team Falcons | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.