CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2bd657f5cd2e1cee1f82c6fc8fef0bc10edf391a5060273f59ab995e4ee883b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 5,018$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.9 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 68c | 2,663$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.92 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 31c | 2,222$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 65c | 2,201$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.18 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Over | 35c | 1,980$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 64c | 1,852$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.77 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 36c | 1,507$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.7 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Over | 17c | 1,095$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.09 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Over | 26c | 1,054$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.11 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Over | 17c | 771.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Over | 17c | 728.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 31c | 718.06$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Under | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 686.84$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.89 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Over | 34c | 567.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 35c | 505$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.75 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 63c | 431.73$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 71c | 428.02$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 26c | 417.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…93bebacked Over | 36c | 356.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed Over | 24c | 334.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 36c | 319.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 36c | 308$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 32c | 211.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Over | 26c | 140.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Over | 36c | 137.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Under | 69c | 125.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 67c | 122.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Over | 32c | 95.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…a065backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…0829backed Under | 66c | 78.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…99f9backed Under | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 28c | 62.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 19c | 61.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 18c | 61.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…e854backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Under | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 36c | 39.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Over | 38c | 39.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Under | 62c | 39.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…0ea6backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 69c | 30.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 34c | 29.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 68c | 28.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Under | 67c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…44ebbacked Under | 75c | 18.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 62c | 18.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.