TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc882…0662

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 50 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT13333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,569.89
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,348.64
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,861.92
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,373.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,346.24
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,363.72
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046.48
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,794.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.8
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.84
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.43
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$254.37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$160
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.54
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$132.97
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.3
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.58
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$85.2
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$74.4
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.27
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.04
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$354
All 23 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,506.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.