CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fd7d863dfd628eca656d6fb373012af2286a37d51a35e15e3e714b4351cc73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Falcons | 39c | 88,737$34,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,843.68 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 65c | 31,958$20,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,240.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Spirit | 61c | 22,611$13,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,818.29 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 60c | 18,971$11,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,494.17 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Spirit | 60c | 14,926$8,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.72 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 39c | 14,781$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764.77 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 14,761$6,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.21 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 62c | 13,495$8,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.09 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Team Falcons | 5c | 10,123$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.53 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 61c | 9,122$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.7 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 9,084$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.09 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…8911backed Team Falcons | 8c | 8,358$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ac7cbacked Spirit | 62c | 8,020$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 61c | 8,012$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.01 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit | 62c | 8,000$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Team Falcons | 36c | 7,825$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons | 38c | 7,777$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.26 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…fa6abacked Team Falcons | 20c | 7,699$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 38c | 7,489$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.82 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Spirit | 61c | 6,427$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.35 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 66c | 5,917$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.72 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 66c | 5,328$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.07 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Falcons | 40c | 5,250$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Spirit | 60c | 5,000$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.93 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Team Falcons | 39c | 4,588$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.2 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spirit | 59c | 4,576$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.27 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Spirit | 59c | 4,456$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.52 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Spirit | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Spirit | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Team Falcons | 14c | 3,163$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.29 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons | 15c | 3,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.91 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Spirit | 58c | 2,766$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.11 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…e60ebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 2,705$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 73c | 2,690$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.32 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Spirit | 62c | 2,637$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.39 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Spirit | 62c | 2,613$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.74 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 2,597$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Falcons | 30c | 2,595$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.24 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Spirit | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Spirit | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Falcons | 5c | 2,369$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 37c | 2,290$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.12 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Spirit | 63c | 2,250$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…3734backed Spirit | 75c | 2,181$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,955$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.13 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Spirit | 60c | 1,888$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.08 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…f51cbacked Spirit | 63c | 1,825$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Spirit | 61c | 1,809$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.41 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons | 8c | 1,800$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit | 61c | 1,763$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.06 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 61c | 1,741$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.09 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Falcons | 12c | 1,643$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.53 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team Falcons | 10c | 1,586$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Spirit | 60c | 1,557$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.86 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 62c | 1,501$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.38 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 9c | 1,381$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5d…b79ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,235$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.44 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,227$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.93 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,219$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.76 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Team Falcons | 20c | 1,210$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 59c | 1,203$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.39 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Team Falcons | 23c | 1,200$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons | 12c | 1,150$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Team Falcons | 13c | 1,150$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Team Falcons | 8c | 1,080$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Spirit | 73c | 1,078$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.08 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 14c | 1,038$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Spirit | 75c | 1,010$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Falcons | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Falcons | 8c | 999.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Spirit | 80c | 956.6$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.49 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 938$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Team Falcons | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 888$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.08 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…d116backed Spirit | 60c | 811.3$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.21 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Team Falcons | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…853dbacked Team Falcons | 8c | 738.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Team Falcons | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ebc1backed Spirit | 60c | 712.9$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Team Falcons | 14c | 704.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Spirit | 78c | 702.83$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Spirit | 61c | 660.3$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…dc1bbacked Team Falcons | 24c | 658.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 39c | 652$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked Team Falcons | 8c | 635.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Team Falcons | 4c | 620.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Team Falcons | 17c | 599.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Team Falcons | 27c | 599.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Team Falcons | 38c | 587.51$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons | 37c | 570$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…7ab6backed Team Falcons | 39c | 560$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Falcons | 18c | 559.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 23c | 548.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit | 61c | 537.4$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Spirit | 79c | 529.85$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Falcons | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Falcons (+2.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.