TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ab7…756b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10337.9%39 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$551
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$342
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.99
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$372
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$355.18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+164%+$213.16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$126.27
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$383.91
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$320.97
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$130.73
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$152.7
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$223.26
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+271.4%+$542.78
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$111.43
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$199.42
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 4 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+247.6%+$247.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$188.24
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+198.7%+$397.37
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.31
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$133.16
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$426.34
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+251.2%+$100.48
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+67%+$51.58
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$119.3
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$295.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.7
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+424.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Abacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+424.7%+$206.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.