TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Natus Vincere, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,103,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,226,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,103,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked G274c52,347$38,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,718.3422468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere45c32,939$14,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,970.021,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed G237c27,016$10,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,891.9633343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere62c25,000$15,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,499.9775758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked G241c24,819$10,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,738.3741040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere63c24,716$15,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,514.9246149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere65c23,000$14,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,912.1650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G246c20,311$9,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,012.0381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Natus Vincere65c18,559$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed G235c15,125$5,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,831.3911439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Natus Vincere49c14,210$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d6…3b10backed Natus Vincere44c13,800$6,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,071.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked G247c13,522$6,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,196.6614947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked G235c12,641$4,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,216.3320248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked G238c11,915$4,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,387.364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4d…546abacked Natus Vincere60c11,407$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere36c10,264$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.141,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed G237c10,024$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.5575350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G263c9,027$5,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.851,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked G232c8,646$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.2725655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked G237c8,539$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,413.2732542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G255c7,896$4,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,523.691,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Natus Vincere65c7,692$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked G253c7,486$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,486.464843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2e…94bbbacked Natus Vincere63c6,982$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,398.651540%6 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G238c6,636$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,138.085,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a21…fb6cbacked G234c6,259$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,130.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere65c6,000$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.9845058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…9f90backed Natus Vincere47c5,960$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7911369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Natus Vincere59c5,931$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008261%50 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Natus Vincere45c5,897$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.615641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere63c5,682$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.451,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G234c5,223$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,423.412,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked G237c5,160$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.435460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f38…477cbacked G236c5,079$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.242138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G236c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed G237c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9830340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G237c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.9778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G271c4,950$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.441,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere29c4,929$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.061,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed G253c4,697$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,19715155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Natus Vincere63c4,529$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.1217967.6%121 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Natus Vincere62c4,500$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.977450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed G236c4,264$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.535739.2%140 W · 217 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere1c4,250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.525145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked G238c4,078$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.1827658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Natus Vincere36c3,951$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.8312749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Natus Vincere54c3,742$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.8822449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Natus Vincere68c3,704$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.8821346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere22c3,535$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.672,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Natus Vincere57c3,378$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.462470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed G256c3,345$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.212759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere64c3,332$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.6136453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Natus Vincere20c3,274$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.717245.8%33 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked Natus Vincere62c3,186$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.4311656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere32c3,186$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.531,00752.4%528 W · 479 L+27.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed G238c3,100$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92217249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked G236c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92022129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa09…b681backed Natus Vincere45c2,892$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.521747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Natus Vincere35c2,778$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.937941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere41c2,745$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.145,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e42…a2bcbacked Natus Vincere37c2,727$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G256c2,719$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.8387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked G244c2,645$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.119849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed Natus Vincere75c2,644$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9838564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere62c2,630$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.68938.2%34 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed G237c2,620$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.660434.1%206 W · 398 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed G239c2,589$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.614839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed G236c2,586$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.717353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked G237c2,583$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.6548548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed G253c2,518$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.1519659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere56c2,500$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.132,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Natus Vincere48c2,410$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.6413253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere55c2,349$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3006854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Natus Vincere55c2,317$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.2738054.5%207 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Natus Vincere64c2,284$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.756546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Natus Vincere46c2,200$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.7520944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Natus Vincere33c2,161$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.8251842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Natus Vincere63c2,145$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.749461.7%58 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed G239c2,085$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.0216633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed G235c2,075$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.7421854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked G238c2,073$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.3975145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aeb…12b2backed G238c2,050$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.42958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Natus Vincere40c2,013$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012043.3%52 W · 68 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Natus Vincere40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Natus Vincere43c2,000$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9922556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere44c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.9844648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G236c1,995$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.5321048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed G256c1,976$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.2710359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf93…0d84backed G265c1,946$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e20…a1aabacked G267c1,942$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.622560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked G235c1,915$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.2819546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G259c1,901$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.071,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere26c1,889$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere40c1,877$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.992,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere63c1,869$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.2228549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed G236c1,698$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.582075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb065…60ccbacked G238c1,653$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere35c1,650$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.517737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.