TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Natus Vincere, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c8d…65e7backed G263c33,675$21,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,597.054654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.9576058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G264c16,017$10,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,824.875,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Natus Vincere38c12,827$4,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,826.035641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Natus Vincere39c12,707$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G262c12,000$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.9736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1529…a7babacked Natus Vincere36c10,309$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere37c7,777$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.4917643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere36c7,599$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.8521655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G261c7,000$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed G262c6,692$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.8710142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere37c6,163$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.531,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G264c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G264c5,581$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,035.562,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4d…546abacked Natus Vincere38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere35c5,263$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.969855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere37c4,772$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.4732346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G262c4,153$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.0366851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed G264c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.8460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Natus Vincere38c3,632$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.836243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Natus Vincere37c3,539$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.2529839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed G263c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.999551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Natus Vincere36c2,940$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.7827753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G263c2,691$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.5423145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed G263c2,600$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.9910359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97536453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G260c2,500$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.252,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked G260c2,474$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.672458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed G262c2,266$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.727250%36 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G260c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed G264c2,000$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.994647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…a820backed Natus Vincere37c1,941$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.3540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Natus Vincere35c1,918$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.4722342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G259c1,803$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.141,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere37c1,500$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Natus Vincere41c1,478$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.1735953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed G254c1,278$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.1435054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed G265c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4207751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Natus Vincere35c1,193$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.7219840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Natus Vincere64c1,148$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.867353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked G261c1,091$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.4542050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere38c1,057$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Natus Vincere37c1,045$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.527041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere62c1,008$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.0428549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed G262c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Natus Vincere36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9914650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G264c931.86$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.862,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Natus Vincere37c914.89$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2448240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed Natus Vincere41c900$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36616749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere48c829.17$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39839157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Natus Vincere36c826.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Natus Vincere61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Natus Vincere36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28838051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Natus Vincere38c796$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Natus Vincere38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere36c776.84$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.661,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed G264c758$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3450051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e61…60a0backed Natus Vincere38c703.66$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.391428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed G262c596.02$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7810452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere38c571.05$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.442,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Natus Vincere35c549.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4411444.7%51 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed G265c546.2$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1716544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Natus Vincere37c524.82$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1838650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked G265c513.67$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9249849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Natus Vincere49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Natus Vincere25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Natus Vincere38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19028042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked G264c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18078963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Natus Vincere38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19089248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Natus Vincere36c499.93$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9858254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed Natus Vincere35c496.03$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.615944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c14…a9c1backed G263c442.86$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.865464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked Natus Vincere35c430$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.56245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad0…6187backed G265c415$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.253333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Natus Vincere37c407.7$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8548845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d3…3078backed Natus Vincere49c406.12$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed Natus Vincere34c404.74$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.618545.9%39 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Natus Vincere35c400.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5713435.8%48 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Natus Vincere39c400.16$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1576033.3%20 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Natus Vincere35c399.77$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked G263c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.835853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa6…9d71backed Natus Vincere38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere36c391.85$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.077,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked G270c385.7$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.711668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed G253c330$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.351,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed G261c328.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1111155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked G264c321$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5611661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere37c313.3$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.121,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Natus Vincere36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Natus Vincere38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7591945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c2bdbacked Natus Vincere39c299.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Natus Vincere36c285.42$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5148948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a6…5d97backed G266c272.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.725052%26 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Natus Vincere39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed G264c254.55$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6447053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked G261c250$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.549651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked G252c247.59$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Natus Vincere35c234.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.