TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$723,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$789,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere37c63,691$23,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,252.671,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed G246c42,644$19,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,749.512955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G244c25,000$10,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,976.1850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed G245c24,072$10,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,825.9933343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked G260c22,054$13,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,245.2641040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere55c20,001$11,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,930.3476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked G255c17,371$9,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,533.923844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere54c15,000$8,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,95023243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere57c13,326$7,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,781.0717643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere54c13,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,949.969855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere53c11,293$5,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,308.481,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G245c11,045$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970.2521048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere55c11,000$6,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,95011439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Natus Vincere41c9,608$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,708.181338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Natus Vincere63c9,000$5,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.977450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed G248c8,368$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Natus Vincere75c7,305$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.9116344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7a4d…546abacked Natus Vincere69c6,936$4,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Natus Vincere57c6,634$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.411,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G243c5,778$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.365,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Natus Vincere70c5,714$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.298361.4%51 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed G255c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6e…b0e0backed Natus Vincere50c5,350$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6751172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed G246c5,191$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.8130153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aeb…12b2backed G245c5,000$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2302958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked G263c4,935$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10061754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2e…94bbbacked G278c4,613$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.521540%6 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere37c4,409$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.481,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Natus Vincere51c4,372$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.2422447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9945058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked G210c3,723$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2621146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere63c3,580$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.8345646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked G237c3,506$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30935745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed G243c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50515251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked G240c3,480$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.552920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Natus Vincere60c3,344$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked G22c3,149$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.442,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G232c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.6278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Natus Vincere51c3,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4808562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4620…ea85backed G232c2,920$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.813748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere54c2,902$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.942,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Natus Vincere59c2,852$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.46854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed Natus Vincere52c2,703$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.29748.5%47 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed G21c2,696$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9625145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Natus Vincere56c2,643$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.8617249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere48c2,596$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.032,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Natus Vincere39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.12821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Natus Vincere58c2,550$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.5821346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Natus Vincere57c2,456$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.1448350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed G212c2,228$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.366136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed G248c2,205$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.5249941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked G231c2,204$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6908741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Natus Vincere45c2,175$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.6514947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed G242c2,137$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.967548%36 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere36c2,132$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.891,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked G244c2,100$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92435460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Natus Vincere56c2,058$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.272470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed Natus Vincere50c2,048$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.712759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere63c2,046$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.992,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere34c2,036$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.3388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere55c2,013$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.6264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G22c2,011$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.272,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere29c1,862$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.6849646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere50c1,829$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.351,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…6b53backed G263c1,736$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.861546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed G244c1,725$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.0442651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Natus Vincere57c1,689$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.3648240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Natus Vincere20c1,657$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.1251942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed G236c1,657$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.2861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed G24c1,656$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4824756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed G236c1,600$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57854732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed G236c1,600$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9912749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere56c1,585$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.5355236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e42…a2bcbacked Natus Vincere63c1,583$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…1f66backed Natus Vincere57c1,579$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.432254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed G244c1,563$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.6316633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Natus Vincere63c1,563$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.391631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked G236c1,541$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere44c1,515$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.6940253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked G240c1,500$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60531647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed G241c1,500$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6105044%22 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked G253c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed G240c1,499$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.886352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdafe…c5b5backed Natus Vincere57c1,470$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.212339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851a…de17backed Natus Vincere55c1,462$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.439826.5%26 W · 72 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed G263c1,420$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90018837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd953…a9c0backed G254c1,414$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7702867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Natus Vincere38c1,379$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9813743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere58c1,376$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.438868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Natus Vincere19c1,368$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.3612433.9%42 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked G252c1,294$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.5438454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Natus Vincere39c1,277$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.8814362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed G245c1,211$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.0641938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a6…5d97backed G249c1,200$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5865052%26 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb5…a27bbacked G235c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-79.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed G249c1,190$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.071,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked G256c1,189$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6664158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed G246c1,170$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.125836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.