TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c17,500$8,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,85023245.7%106 W · 126 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4d…546abacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Under50c8,308$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,154.249954.5%54 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over49c5,891$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.47040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under53c4,274$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.141,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c3,784$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89265351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over36c2,788$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.328549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over50c2,398$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.0230340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over51c1,826$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.381,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Over37c1,321$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.431844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under49c1,297$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.5536845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Under53c1,237$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.1514042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…7d27backed Over50c1,229$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.3820047%94 W · 106 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5022…9b18backed Over47c1,016$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Over50c1,002$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.324843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2712…677abacked Over51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4036…0dd9backed Under53c999.95$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.982948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed Under50c945.07$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.544949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over59c837.49$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.831,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over50c761.76$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.6512441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over47c706$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1828755.1%158 W · 129 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over51c691.14$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6628042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2be…78c2backed Over47c639.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.195862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.315758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026147.1%123 W · 138 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over33c492.64$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.484042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d95…9e68backed Over47c485.11$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.115440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c448.86$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4227954.1%151 W · 128 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over47c442.55$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.556737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Under50c412$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20620553.2%109 W · 96 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa986…9a46backed Under49c398.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…618ebacked Over37c377.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under45c313.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.391,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c284.98$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.872,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over50c256.82$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.416952.2%36 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Over37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under60c225.2$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Over46c206.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2610251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Over48c204.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6911149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under53c202.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Over74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5210765.4%70 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10033153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa8c…8a32backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under34c187.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.91,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under49c182.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6660143.1%259 W · 342 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under55c160.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8838049.5%188 W · 192 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under54c146.3$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7920141.8%84 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…2379backed Over47c146.26$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.522948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under53c139.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.199447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed Under49c122.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.977152.1%37 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Over35c120.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3510452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Under17c113.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7720242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed Over47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.313040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over36c108.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3236054.4%196 W · 164 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3813350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3429…38eebacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…b8c6backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under29c99.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.345538.2%174 W · 281 L-29.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under51c97.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6333156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under51c91.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8492145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…793dbacked Over52c86.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over50c86.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.228651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3793…8f46backed Over46c80.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.396051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over66c79.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.812,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under50c77.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7675048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…c94bbacked Over47c76.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under33c76.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.943,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0a9…5862backed Over53c75.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.665152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under51c74.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1826650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over69c72.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3138552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Over49c70.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.89959.6%59 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under33c70.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.116648.2%80 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under65c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.517946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…2411backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.12556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8317864.6%115 W · 63 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bac…fae6backed Over47c63.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.782777.8%21 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5273…69f5backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010154.5%55 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2397…55bcbacked Under67c59.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over37c59.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.521,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe416…7fc0backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.055156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…8970backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.199453.2%50 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2418233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x428b…4f48backed Under66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333050%15 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307361.6%45 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c46.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.291,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under44c44.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5640635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Over59c44.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.13357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under53c43.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9511358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f21…8af5backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.559056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.557258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.558552.9%45 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.