TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb2a…e923

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
340
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20138.3%77 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 201 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$223.08
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.75
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.21
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.45
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.25
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$188.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$255
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.13
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.75
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.96
Showing 25 of 201 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT9447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$155.68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$74.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72%+$72.03
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.51
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$247.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$68.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$72
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+87%+$26.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$105.4
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.36
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$123.66
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.01
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$62.32
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.