TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64ce…944bbacked No50c37,417$18,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,708.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes59c18,397$10,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,925.1198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No32c15,723$4,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,755.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes49c13,496$6,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,672.481,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes50c10,312$5,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,156.167549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No28c3,301$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.5814761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes50c2,450$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2306339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Yes64c2,328$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes67c2,050$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.7817137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c1,460$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.51,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c925$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes71c904$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.8452639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No67c767.46$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1510644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes29c672.09$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.471,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No80c544.92$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9810273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No66c520$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.747031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed No76c475$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No72c456.25$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.512343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes25c433.48$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes69c385.51$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No40c365$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3919172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed Yes3c356.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Yes58c341.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb376…a463backed No76c336.71$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No75c327.27$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8218655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes33c298.09$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+181.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes36c250.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.825552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes20c235$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No35c229.65$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5471443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb98…c6c5backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No30c222.11$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3725652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec5…4168backed Yes73c220.52$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed No53c186.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes30c164.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Yes50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No29c147$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3720660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes27c146.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No74c139.42$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0436051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…ca05backed Yes69c131.88$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No59c105.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5820849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bd4…5aaebacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8335247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.992259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No73c98.12$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1137249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked No51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8286…701fbacked Yes53c94.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes73c94.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes54c93.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6130735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c88.71$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes32c86.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Yes25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.753438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No37c72.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x600f…7db5backed Yes71c70.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes59c66.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes28c66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffa…afa2backed No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes20c59.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9723953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No76c57.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes37c57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa0…8779backed Yes50c56.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No80c56.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2719073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe04b…37a8backed Yes50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes25c51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes25c50.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes24c50.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.063023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed No30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x981f…cf4fbacked No40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes25c46.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.554951%25 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2612…0eabbacked Yes40c46.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes30c41.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.439052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8b…276abacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebdc…d2debacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No76c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3611563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No75c37.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4618651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc7…7275backed Yes59c33.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes51c32.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3631446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.714549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick73cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.164663%29 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked No76c25.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.174650%23 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2923…68eebacked Yes65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2540%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.