TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2923…68ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Mls at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT15267.1%102 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$3.1
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.35
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.35
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$17.4
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+32%+$10.91
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$18.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$13.95
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$17.97
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$15.35
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$14.1
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45%+$21.48
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$11.12
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$4.19
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$4.56
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$5.1
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$9.54
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$9.83
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$28.22
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$24.19
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$17.96
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.58
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$7.66
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$12.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$10.35
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$26.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+177.5%+$22.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+459.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+459.4%+$162.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.