MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a333e72b4618fee21c080f6761a3998c0cc15b00a45cc2f532e4f0a3f801e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $719,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $766,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $719,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 39,116$21,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,413.62 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 64c | 38,806$24,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,904.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 36,366$19,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,274.05 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 35,731$16,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,034.92 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 24,140$9,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,068.8 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Houston Astros | 74c | 23,154$17,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,967.69 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 53c | 17,378$9,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,153.13 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 16,500$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,910 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 15,611$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 15,098$7,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,893.82 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 63c | 14,908$9,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.46 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 14,402$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 13,284$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 13,097$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.72 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Houston Astros | 45c | 12,490$5,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,869.73 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 12,334$5,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,712.83 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 10,417$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.47 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Houston Astros | 47c | 9,654$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.82 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 6,199$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.65 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 46c | 5,995$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.29 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Houston Astros | 43c | 5,758$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 5,754$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 5,640$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 5,442$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 63c | 4,826$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 4,423$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.68 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 4,344$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.6 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 4,200$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 3,981$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.73 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 3,867$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.23 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,627$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,627$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.84 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 3,525$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.87 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,325$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,243$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Houston Astros | 17c | 3,086$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.94 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 59c | 2,815$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.14 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,726$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.74 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,707$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Houston Astros | 76c | 2,493$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.87 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 2,430$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,234$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.37 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 47c | 2,186$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.58 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 2,147$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.49 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,134$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.54 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,081$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.61 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,023$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.17 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 1,935$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.29 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,794$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a9…f793backed Houston Astros | 74c | 1,784$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,778$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.22 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,765$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,702$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.78 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 1,606$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.85 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,605$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.59 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,580$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.93 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Houston Astros | 61c | 1,484$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.42 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,484$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…440fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 1,408$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,388$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.54 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…d9d6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 1,320$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.99 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,225$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.95 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…0f5dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,190$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,173$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.17 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 23c | 1,163$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.93 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 1,120$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 1,115$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 1,109$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 1,106$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.4 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 1,076$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.18 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,038$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.8 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,031$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Houston Astros | 70c | 1,016$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.78 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 999.95$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.97 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 987.27$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 68c | 959.84$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Houston Astros | 54c | 916.11$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.41 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 910.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.04 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Houston Astros | 21c | 907.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 900$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 825.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 751.81$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 749.99$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 38c | 736.2$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.45 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 716.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Houston Astros | 37c | 700$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Houston Astros | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 678.3$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.71 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.