MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee02e7da504ef2a7fde5418c9774bab7e4aef18522297323dfab84e18b6b1ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 52c | 206,922$106,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,034.3 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 20,652$9,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 47c | 13,298$6,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,312.34 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 48c | 11,227$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.03 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 10,046$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743.74 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 47c | 7,810$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.79 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 6,156$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 5,689$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.6 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 48c | 5,560$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.61 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 4,887$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 2,880$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 1,721$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Over | 60c | 1,560$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.36 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 1,477$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 41c | 1,253$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.14 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 840$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 721.02$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.09 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 685.94$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.39 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 49c | 640.55$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.72 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 549.02$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 499.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Under | 47c | 440.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.92 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 43c | 434.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 70c | 417$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Over | 60c | 405$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 325.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 52c | 260.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 244.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 59c | 163.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 154$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 48c | 135.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Over | 61c | 135$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 48c | 134.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 66c | 133$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 45c | 121.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 118$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 48c | 106.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e49cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 53c | 95.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 68c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 45c | 78.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…9afabacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 59c | 59.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 64c | 51.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 41c | 49.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 57c | 47.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 42.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 48c | 36.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 33.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 30.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…4928backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…7d26backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…1dcdbacked Over | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.