TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2fb…1c4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT7350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.37
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+197.3%+$197.29
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs KOLESIE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$64.56
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.2
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.18
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa - Map 2 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$43.93
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$73.05
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$95.7
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MARKandLARRY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$64.75
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$64.19
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$40.34
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$110.19
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$452.05
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked AlQadsiah Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.04
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$123.13
Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked 9z Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$65.9
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$153.66
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$73.25
Valorant: 9z Team vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Nightblood Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.28
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.