CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdbeb99b182724fc3969f69681c4ee852d99c5f70491da19aee0f1b971bddcbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noir Verseof aimclub, Noir Verse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4579…dfdfbacked Noir Verse | 45c | 491.14$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.11 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed aimclub | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked aimclub | 44c | 164.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed aimclub | 57c | 162.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed Noir Verse | 25c | 157$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Noir Verse | 50c | 125.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…9055backed Noir Verse | 73c | 121.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Noir Verse | 65c | 114.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…fc9ebacked aimclub | 46c | 96.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked aimclub | 57c | 94.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked aimclub | 47c | 86.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Noir Verse | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed aimclub | 39c | 77.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed aimclub | 37c | 74.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed aimclub | 33c | 66.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked aimclub | 34c | 48.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed aimclub | 30c | 42.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Noir Verse | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -13.4wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed aimclub | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed aimclub | 57c | 33.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Noir Verse | 44c | 32.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Noir Verse | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Noir Verse | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse - Map 2 WinnerNoir Verse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.