TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof 1WIN, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1WIN55c7,886$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.021,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Virtus.pro52c6,883$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.8214051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 1WIN48c6,575$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.7484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf268…ecf6backed Virtus.pro60c5,132$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.167851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked 1WIN66c4,136$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.83842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 1WIN47c3,616$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.4166851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed 1WIN41c3,296$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.7729449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked 1WIN51c3,250$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.2843951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro50c3,196$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.596,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 1WIN58c3,000$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.812,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro46c2,759$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.614,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro48c2,641$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.473,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro57c2,536$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.391,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed 1WIN44c2,474$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.9611243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Virtus.pro53c2,277$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.0648350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed 1WIN56c2,225$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.231947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro47c2,084$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.541,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Virtus.pro42c2,042$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.642,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN54c1,976$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.212,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro51c1,879$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.732,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Virtus.pro45c1,729$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.111,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Virtus.pro42c1,719$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.682,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Virtus.pro60c1,640$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.9117249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Virtus.pro58c1,573$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.5633553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 1WIN50c1,547$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.51,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro46c1,544$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.37,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro40c1,529$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.765,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed 1WIN68c1,470$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008361.4%51 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro55c1,450$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.4951252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed 1WIN46c1,300$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed 1WIN47c1,240$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.828455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro36c1,114$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.522,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Virtus.pro47c1,110$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.4488330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Virtus.pro41c1,102$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.6915846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 1WIN25c1,098$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.622,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed 1WIN64c1,089$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.9562248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed Virtus.pro46c1,087$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Virtus.pro56c1,023$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.545464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Virtus.pro56c1,010$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.6620745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked 1WIN66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1718736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed 1WIN43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43037145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed 1WIN48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed 1WIN48c1,000$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.6920562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed 1WIN45c999.97$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9910441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 1WIN56c989.93$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.632,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd554…06e6backed 1WIN66c984.08$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Virtus.pro44c966.91$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.0440141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro42c953.26$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.795,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 1WIN71c858.69$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.631,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Virtus.pro51c843$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.071540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed 1WIN65c823.03$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0328549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Virtus.pro31c822.9$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.3311838.1%45 W · 73 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed 1WIN45c820.3$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.461,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed 1WIN45c815.67$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.0535839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed 1WIN52c799.98$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.3910551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Virtus.pro25c795.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.239352.7%49 W · 44 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Virtus.pro55c766.44$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.9740542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro65c753.99$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2621,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked 1WIN50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37519741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Virtus.pro58c720.2$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.214749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed 1WIN70c712.86$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.0328173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed 1WIN29c699.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Virtus.pro44c687.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6540449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Virtus.pro50c650.49$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.2327548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed Virtus.pro48c628.87$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.081747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa413…6c4abacked 1WIN64c623.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Virtus.pro47c612.09$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1WIN55c572.55$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.091,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Virtus.pro50c567.17$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7536…ba17backed 1WIN72c565.99$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Virtus.pro44c561.41$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.473,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a8…9c7fbacked 1WIN53c560.77$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.211752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+110.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed 1WIN56c560.14$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6857641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe289…c31abacked Virtus.pro36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.562763%17 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro38c546.95$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.862,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8475…39a0backed Virtus.pro35c543.35$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.351241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 1WIN57c538.65$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.821,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Virtus.pro57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed 1WIN65c510$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.533448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bd…d0a9backed Virtus.pro34c507.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+182.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed 1WIN47c506.19$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0164854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Virtus.pro33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33567651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Virtus.pro52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 1WIN67c500$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.61,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Virtus.pro34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9943640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Virtus.pro54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed 1WIN55c492.14$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27220353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Virtus.pro35c488.61$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.364046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN44c474.93$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.975,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed 1WIN41c468.96$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3719340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 1WIN28c437.02$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.793,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe395…0671backed Virtus.pro57c423.31$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.623060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9d…9805backed Virtus.pro54c409.26$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.261471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f90…e17fbacked 1WIN79c404.85$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Virtus.pro42c398.34$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7839038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed 1WIN59c395.76$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.527544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked 1WIN74c392.04$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8639772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Virtus.pro51c389.9$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0527549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed 1WIN60c389.51$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5896543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Virtus.pro48c389.25$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.951,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.