TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f90…e17f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: IPO, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$33.09
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $21B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+289.1%+$37.48
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.69
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.43
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.57
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.92
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$53.9
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$36.72
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$81.87
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of June 15 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Starmer out by June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.29
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+409.1%+$124.76
Will the CDU/CSU win between 30% and 32% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.67
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$39.68
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.12
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.07
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+73%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid Up or Down on May 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Fartcoin Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports qualify for EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Galions qualify for EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$57.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the third round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.