AI · resolved market
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae1c666cdab9c06a1e6cfce6fbd6bb070185f3f056a5afb9191294dc913e3fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7084…4bd6backed Yes | 3c | 6,913$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd029…4fc1backed No | 15c | 5,411$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…7de6backed No | 40c | 3,491$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 22c | 3,489$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.55 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 3c | 2,664$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 29c | 2,536$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.13 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 34c | 2,506$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.33 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 56c | 2,096$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.56 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,629$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,615$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed No | 76c | 1,578$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.78 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,499$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,322$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 74c | 1,300$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.99 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,255$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed No | 28c | 1,226$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3caf…6d8abacked Yes | 74c | 1,218$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,207$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…929ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,141$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 43c | 1,103$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.29 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 51c | 1,092$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.62 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,025$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 79c | 1,018$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,018$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…0fbdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,017$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 2c | 986.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 24c | 901.12$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Yes | 23c | 881.65$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd24…1a80backed Yes | 28c | 876.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 65c | 838.18$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.36 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 806.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…d068backed Yes | 47c | 782.39$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 13c | 760.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…a140backed Yes | 16c | 698.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…a7febacked Yes | 19c | 678.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 28c | 663.06$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.31 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 70c | 660.04$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.13 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…8289backed Yes | 4c | 626.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -82%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 37c | 610.91$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 2c | 555$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 38c | 546$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…669bbacked Yes | 8c | 479.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…2a84backed Yes | 16c | 459.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 450.91$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…3834backed Yes | 51c | 450.88$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 59c | 412.19$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 10c | 409.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 31c | 401.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes | 19c | 395.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 33c | 384.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 3c | 368$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 59c | 360.01$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 28c | 352.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 52c | 350$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 340.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 40c | 323.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 35c | 316.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 24c | 306$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 305$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…76bcbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…8794backed Yes | 33c | 295.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed Yes | 74c | 291.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -67%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 12c | 253.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…82d3backed Yes | 31c | 239.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…29c3backed Yes | 16c | 230.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 25c | 228.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8386…c2f2backed Yes | 44c | 222.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 78c | 222$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 32c | 219.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked No | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5352…fc6bbacked Yes | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…93eebacked Yes | 13c | 209.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 21c | 207.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…f378backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked No | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…d06fbacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed No | 38c | 194$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…6f45backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 17c | 149.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 75c | 134.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 17c | 132.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2,281.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 58c | 119.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 9c | 114$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9974…2840backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked No | 63c | 104.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…bf4ebacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…5bc9backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…2d2ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 42c | 98.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?this page
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 12, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?No won
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.