TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1547…d066

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
289
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT7350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$344.99
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$39
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$138.82
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,546.34
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.63
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.33
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$219.09
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$791.53
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.22
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$339.26
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+60%+$374.98
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134.45
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$234
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,788Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,312
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.05
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+161.5%+$50.23
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.8
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$186.19
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.18
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$130
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$251.68
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$283
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.84
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+89%+$541.61
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$337.76
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$171.99
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.97
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.5
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.64
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$112.07
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$318
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,063.93
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.99
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$215
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.57
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$394.99
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$141.47
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$287.14
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230.39
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$406.71
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57%+$469.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.2
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.5
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+445.7%+$326.7
North Korea missile test by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.53
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.06
Yoon arrested before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.26
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
All 25 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+213.4%+$272.35
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.99
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+229.2%+$337.22
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$113.88
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+74.6%+$477.25
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$114
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.3%+$185.02
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+176.2%+$191.4
Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.16
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$143.79
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$145.2
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$134.5
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+232.6%+$325.25
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$45
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$83.55
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.8
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+111.6%+$669.39
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$197.14
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$470
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$49.44
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.07
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$221.11
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.08
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$40.5
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+340%+$165.36
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.72
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.61
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.02
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$198.01
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.7
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.6
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$134.12
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$153.72
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.04
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$133.92
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$115
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27.1%+$82.48
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Mook die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$116.59
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$955.37
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+49.3%+$99
D4vd arrested by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$58.32
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.62
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG II" debut at #1 in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Swag II first-week album sales be between 100000 and 125000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.53
Will Swag II first-week album sales be under 75000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+54.5%+$266.12
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG II' have over 160k sales in its first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$9
Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG" debut at #1 in its first week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$44.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.92
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$256.5
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$344
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
California redistricting referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$32.2
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$670.98
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$109.4
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.42
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$238.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$89.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$339
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$26.72
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$80
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$213
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+354.5%+$225.13
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+376.2%+$553
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+186.1%+$325.25
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.8%+$433.4
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+108.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+193.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$496.94
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.9%+$45.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$179.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Hull City AFC 0 - 0 Southampton FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.