TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9ba…cf54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+200.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.38
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$92.85
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.77
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$220.88
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$42.9
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$105.84
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.32
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.84
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$216.43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$358.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+7,196.8%+$3,598.38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.03
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$341.24
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$625
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$110.6
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$234
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 0 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,005
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 2 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.57
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.52
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 1 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.77
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+900%+$510.84
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$390.08
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.27
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+1,578.2%+$521.2
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$622.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.61
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$36.94
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.54
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.53
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$250.15
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$114.91
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33%+$12.41
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.5
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.83
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+102%+$309.06
Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+525%+$158.76
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$285.62
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$376.05
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$61.5
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.72
Will Caroline Woodley win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.67
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$300.22
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$80.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$244.29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$41.95
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.88
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$74.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$67.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.79
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.97
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$59.92
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$35.21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$30.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$45.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42.71
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$428.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.34
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.96
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60.08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$15.03
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$24.32
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$54.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.12
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.08
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$78.91
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.64
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.73
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$480
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$967
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$450
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+317.4%+$1,900.99
Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$985
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.68
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.1%+$772
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$622
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$919.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.99
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$196.49
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.73
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$77.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$178.47
Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.02
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$466.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.12
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$160.28
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.12
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 74% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.61
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.24
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.9B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29%+$85.45
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.81
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.99
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$329
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.12
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$710
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,132
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.86
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,798.76
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,492Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,964.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.45
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Internationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanenbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+533.3%+$253.19
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$79.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+55.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$109.58
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
Will "Anaconda" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$363.99
Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$37.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+566.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$43.99
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.51
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,124.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$192.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BNB reach $700 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$134.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.