TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes8c8,037$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.021618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes4c7,539$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.34333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c5,663$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4240%0 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes63c4,713$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca6…75dbbacked Yes9c2,706$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c2,679$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.862037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes8c1,952$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.01333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35f…d486backed Yes3c1,695$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes66c1,466$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.13944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes58c1,259$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.3224044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked No46c1,129$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,110$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91358.6%3 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed No68c1,073$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.035349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes64c931$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.553650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Yes60c800$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4762075%15 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No76c798.05$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.131250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes32c772.58$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4513832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed Yes6c659.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.452352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No68c645$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-58%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2493…d529backed Yes12c638.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-69.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3c…9699backed Yes8c635.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes5c595.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed No48c592.54$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.16944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c895backed Yes54c550.97$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.14616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick62cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd731…64a6backed Yes10c541.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No68c483.62$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Yes6c455.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.181266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed No47c454.6$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.722245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked No46c432.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0912935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba3d…4b28backed Yes56c419$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes74c340$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.46446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d65…fe49backed Yes6c337$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Yes37c332.43$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed No38c318.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc20f…ab16backed Yes56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Yes33c295.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed No39c286.01$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No74c282.82$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.410850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412e…d1d8backed Yes36c279.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes38c262.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10b…8ec6backed No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No44c243.27$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.234325.6%11 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No53c232$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.725642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes33c231.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.261414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d7…6214backed Yes49c222.93$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No67c222.59$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.457444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes5c217.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.092941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No36c215.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.951060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda7…7b78backed Yes6c212.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…f41fbacked Yes8c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e80…f694backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes10c192.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.337946.8%37 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af2…f92fbacked Yes39c185.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.662839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes52c176$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes8c173.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No62c173.83$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0613132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed No46c145.36$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed No45c141.36$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No63c139.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1915233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No55c124$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.733221.9%7 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No53c115.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.511070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f07…4d5abacked No44c113.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc698…9a4cbacked Yes11c110.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No41c108.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4919632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes63c106.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4924062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ed…156fbacked No62c101.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1047…763abacked No34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x403a…2244backed No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No61c88.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.775160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed No47c84.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.828551.8%44 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Yes36c83.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0255…7a19backed Yes66c79.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes35c77.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.872540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed No66c61.88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb167…de06backed Yes38c56.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5370%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ff7…af4ebacked Yes68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Yes41c49.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206068.3%41 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c57…07d2backed No55c49.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…3868backed No50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a3…c1e3backed No43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203517.1%6 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No61c32.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.83148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked No62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.262245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes37c32.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9854340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19b…7c62backed Yes65c32.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe09b…0a70backed No48c31.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No52c30.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9634…aae2backed Yes66c30.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8709…930dbacked Yes66c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa20b…390bbacked Yes65c25.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Yes56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8826…a723backed No43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c3…3a41backed Yes64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889f…5711backed Yes66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf6…e1cdbacked Yes66c21.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.