TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89df…f8d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT14245.8%65 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.43
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+249.9%+$499.75
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.12
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.24
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.17
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$412.21
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$17.78
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+244.3%+$61.07
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$187
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+223.5%+$111.77
Set Handicap: Fery (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$41.55
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+379.9%+$379.86
Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Martin Landalucebacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+165%+$165.02
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Taylor Fritz vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$57.71
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+36%+$36.02
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+291.4%+$116.54
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$22.61
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$20.28
Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+52.4%+$26.2
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.4
Will Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$167
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+119%+$179.42
Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+52.4%+$36.67
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+50.7%+$20.29
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+46.8%+$70.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35%+$70.07
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$43.62
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.13
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+133%+$172.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$157.16
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$2,603.13
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.27
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Ittihad Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.65
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+181.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$363.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.