TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,299 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c17,005$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.627,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over53c11,000$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over52c7,545$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.4210246.1%47 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c7,068$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.6583440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c6,500$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9937149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under47c6,331$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.493560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82037641.5%156 W · 220 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Under48c5,461$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under48c3,208$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+62.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under47c2,696$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2672864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ad…c898backed Over57c2,492$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over56c2,456$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.942259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over61c1,526$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.879061.1%55 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c1,135$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5509450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under32c1,105$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5411527%31 W · 84 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21c9…1b1abacked Under56c898.21$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c882.98$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.682,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under55c750$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-75.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c744.7$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.095,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over62c655.24$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.994057.5%23 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+109%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over47c641.68$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c516.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9117850.6%90 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.76563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c438.64$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.641,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under34c408.02$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1822333.2%74 W · 149 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809764.9%63 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over72c372$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.161127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c352.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.641,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over55c334.52$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.534452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c291.93$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.743546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.784252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over54c274.42$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under11c205.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.421526.7%4 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick10cpaid+155.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c204.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.152,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under30c199.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2834158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8210456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over63c153$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.616262.9%39 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Under31c152.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over53c107$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.291241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under37c104.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.126662.1%41 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa86c…564dbacked Over64c101.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4493845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3747842.9%205 W · 273 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Under38c94.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.311060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over53c93.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.461855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over72c92.67$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9520572.2%148 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.74153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ca…e89fbacked Under28c88.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.338158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c82.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.072,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Under48c78.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.863063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under45c71.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.325056%28 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.731860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over52c53.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under22c52.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6243721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under46c51.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.814151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Over54c45.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Over58c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7311…7bd6backed Under44c39.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Over68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over65c32.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.613151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6192…2749backed Over53c32.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339f…05b4backed Under48c32.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbb…673cbacked Under48c31.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over53c30.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511636.2%42 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.916750.9%85 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Over53c28.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…2e2abacked Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.37051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.786852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…785abacked Under48c26.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb2…35d0backed Over53c26.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Over63c26.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb20…16a1backed Over69c25.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e14…bc35backed Over46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58cd…2e75backed Over63c23.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed17…275ebacked Over53c23.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefb…79afbacked Over54c22.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.281566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under50c20.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25554.5%30 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over59c20.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.132055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over51c19.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.833378.8%26 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over61c18.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43278.1%25 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over53c18.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.