Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x313185c8d33f4c63c646122615b5bc3fd58604d6c5a4a4344eace85306cf953a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Portoof FC Porto, Moreirense FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6326…6329backed FC Porto | 32c | 740.63$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Moreirense FC | 68c | 717.63$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked FC Porto | 63c | 158.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Moreirense FC | 43c | 145.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Porto | 36c | 66.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Porto | 37c | 65.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Moreirense FC | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…00c2backed FC Porto | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed FC Porto | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed FC Porto | 53c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Moreirense FC | 73c | 15.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)this page
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.