Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e8d581828c33c80dc173c7d76b6bde4cdf793084938783d1e5a07acdfd12f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,812 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 9c | 1,274$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 22c | 773.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 476.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 450.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 79c | 212.92$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 22c | 206$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 22c | 177.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 167.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 149.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 22c | 52.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 22c | 47.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…d06cbacked Over | 79c | 46.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 78c | 25.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…22dabacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…3d00backed Over | 77c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.