Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x696cfcc83e957c162069827643531f7c716b5f04bab65c3381d7787153cdd77a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Portoof FC Porto, Moreirense FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,641 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Moreirense FC | 44c | 2,495$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.7 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed FC Porto | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.96 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Porto | 60c | 1,319$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Moreirense FC | 12c | 996.52$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed FC Porto | 58c | 874.62$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Moreirense FC | 47c | 374.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Moreirense FC | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed FC Porto | 57c | 176.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Moreirense FC | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Moreirense FC | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Moreirense FC | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked FC Porto | 57c | 122.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Moreirense FC | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked FC Porto | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Moreirense FC | 42c | 76.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Porto | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…4533backed Moreirense FC | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Moreirense FC | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Moreirense FC | 43c | 59.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Moreirense FC | 43c | 56.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Moreirense FC | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…63b5backed Moreirense FC | 43c | 47.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked FC Porto | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Moreirense FC | 39c | 35.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Moreirense FC | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Moreirense FC | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed FC Porto | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Moreirense FC | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed FC Porto | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed FC Porto | 58c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed FC Porto | 56c | 25.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Moreirense FC | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afc…b74dbacked Moreirense FC | 42c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Moreirense FC | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed FC Porto | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FC Porto | 60c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.