Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6480553f0be777abcd27d0eb4bfc2158c01bf6014c8bbfa147c6fe721add7c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,334 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,409$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,356$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 1,270$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.95 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 31c | 1,250$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.33 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 887.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 20c | 400.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed Yes | 29c | 343.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 197.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…59c2backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 135.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed No | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 15c | 75.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 34c | 67.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 79c | 44.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 42.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4729…8cfdbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 26.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 67c | 25.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 23.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 67c | 17.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.