TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cb9…c65d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.43
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.7
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.6
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
Poland vs. Albania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.42
Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Denmark vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Türkiye vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Türkiye vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)backed Vietnam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.23
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$11.64
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$20.22
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Hornets (-16.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.14
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$23.16
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$65.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.47
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.64
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.71
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$43.36
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$21.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$20.44
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$43.08
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$24.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.36
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.31
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.82
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.71
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$37.34
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$25.91
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$71.35
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$47.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-67.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.