TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes43c82,824$35,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,935.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No57c25,612$14,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,502.9814755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed No57c9,988$5,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,678.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c9,577$5,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,391.1443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c9,029$5,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,114.2698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes59c6,806$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.4613049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No47c5,651$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.564141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c5,636$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.0946644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c5,593$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.0147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes55c4,654$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.0610633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes51c4,611$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.2714060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes40c3,662$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No57c3,114$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.7211055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.662763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No57c2,828$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.84355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No74c2,103$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.716471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.991275%9 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.54per pick21cpaid+326.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed No57c1,827$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No50c1,797$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No55c1,588$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked No25c1,526$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.652025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c1,358$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.6414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No32c1,048$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.159431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed No56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e81…8427backed No46c959.09$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No58c955$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.725558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No53c943.84$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.281323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No56c929.46$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.051030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes26c925.01$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.512343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No22c899.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.995119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked No49c880.28$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.275925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No57c875.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No57c875.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed No57c875.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No58c865.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c61…db4bbacked Yes79c812.74$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked No62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No34c726.52$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.894124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes48c707.28$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.9111940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5650…8cbabacked Yes40c706.03$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+96.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes39c666.01$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No26c626.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No70c587.49$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.041855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes40c572.56$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.9910757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed No61c570.11$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.772450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes44c562.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.56129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No32c552.49$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No55c545.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No38c543.84$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c534.32$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0723551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes41c516.24$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.975154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes41c510.24$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.435255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No57c506.22$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.244148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes41c501.38$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.844355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked No62c496.31$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.631764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed No20c460$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-59.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes53c439.71$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6611063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes53c419.05$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.224553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed No61c418.05$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.01757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes42c416.78$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.245754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No61c374.33$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No56c362.07$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.763154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No56c354.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes58c350.84$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes67c331.85$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7110837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed No61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No58c308.57$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3630055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c286.15$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3813243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No69c281.58$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c271.85$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes74c268.46$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.883354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No56c267.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d5…094bbacked Yes57c264.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No59c254.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No60c249.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Yes39c224.57$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick37cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes77c222.65$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked No56c215.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes59c209.14$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0424732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes58c204.49$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes55c198$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes45c191.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes37c185.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.837549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No59c180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.210448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0115…ca23backed Yes75c173.23$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes73c163.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes67c158.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.361957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes72c155.5$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.961010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-86.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe49f…2439backed No57c147.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes63c146.03$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.619257.6%53 W · 39 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No56c145.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.31966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No71c143.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.321435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.