TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No71c7,860$5,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.5346644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Yes36c3,611$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Yes17c1,800$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes37c1,622$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c1,284$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c1,258$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c1,194$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes23c929.9$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.3430536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes17c899.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes27c747.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes21c719.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes30c687.4$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No74c675.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.761070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes30c673.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes26c635.63$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes15c583.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.499431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No77c574.17$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes20c500.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes23c438.44$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.91825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes23c429.35$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.75944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes19c424.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No79c369.22$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.024124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes23c368.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.786850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes23c346.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes22c327.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No77c315.76$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0712532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes26c314.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.658327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No76c309.26$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.973253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No76c309.13$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.974148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes24c303$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.494151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No76c292.52$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.163850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c280.19$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5430055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c270.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes21c239.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.393946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes42c239.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Yes32c234.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes22c231.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes21c219$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.65651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes14c214.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes17c212.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.396823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes24c210.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes22c207.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6910757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c199.77$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.813551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c147.5$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.413243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Yes23c146.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No78c145.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.94966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes26c141$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No69c124.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a82…491bbacked Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2944…f09dbacked Yes26c113.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes25c108.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.921118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes24c102.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.564637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Yes21c93.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.971855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes21c90.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9811050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes21c86.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.211540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes35c86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.521650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes20c79.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No78c77.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c71.87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No68c69.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes30c69.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.739714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No79c68.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes22c67.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No76c66.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.071553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf144…4c52backed No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes20c59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.662236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Yes25c57.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-61.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd10…99b9backed Yes23c56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ce…3cf8backed Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Yes31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9808…dbe5backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No77c49.92$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No78c49.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d08…3f86backed No65c46.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes25c41.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.344353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes41c39.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No77c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.976955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No62c37.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No70c33.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.116050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes37c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6655…1764backed No80c29.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed No66c29.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No68c28.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.352657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed No68c28.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No68c28.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No68c28.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.293357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No68c28.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.295154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No68c28.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.295754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No68c28.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.294355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.