TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd10…99b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$13.13
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$29.98
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$12.9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$8.03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.32
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.66
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.99
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.83
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+132.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seoul have between 110-120mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Will Seoul have between 100-110mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.68
Will Seoul have between 130-140mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+256%+$113.61
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.84
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+2,065%+$672.23
Will London have 30mm or more of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+95.9%+$17.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.73
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.09
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+115%+$18.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+109.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+2,011.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+2,011.6%+$217.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St Mirren FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.