TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Rinky Hijikata

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arthur Feryof Arthur Fery, Rinky Hijikata
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Fery52c13,776$7,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,665.24,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Rinky Hijikata27c13,588$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7106040%24 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Fery65c13,519$8,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.299,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Arthur Fery48c10,763$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,562.5665651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rinky Hijikata49c9,488$4,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.58,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rinky Hijikata54c8,044$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,339.6911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Fery44c6,187$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.546,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Rinky Hijikata36c6,085$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.0331234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Arthur Fery64c4,516$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.473,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Rinky Hijikata52c4,314$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.1957842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Arthur Fery47c2,211$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.9910642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6168…dda9backed Rinky Hijikata61c2,117$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Rinky Hijikata53c2,082$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.322352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…571abacked Arthur Fery54c2,071$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.87425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Arthur Fery52c1,853$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.982,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Arthur Fery56c1,770$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.174,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Arthur Fery48c1,680$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.71,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Rinky Hijikata52c1,635$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Rinky Hijikata42c1,375$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3911437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Rinky Hijikata75c1,255$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.22,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Rinky Hijikata53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60072040.8%294 W · 426 L+2.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Arthur Fery56c1,059$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.231,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Arthur Fery41c1,051$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.691,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Rinky Hijikata56c1,035$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.6928835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Arthur Fery75c1,018$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5216552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Arthur Fery47c999.95$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9885634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Rinky Hijikata50c995.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Rinky Hijikata55c977.87$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.354634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Rinky Hijikata52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Fery52c911.86$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.735,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Rinky Hijikata56c865.42$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4691755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Rinky Hijikata38c802.08$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.793116.1%5 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cca…c5c6backed Rinky Hijikata53c740.42$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.421216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rinky Hijikata14c687.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.639,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Arthur Fery76c642.46$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1924245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rinky Hijikata51c628.56$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.078,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Rinky Hijikata52c555$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.832,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rinky Hijikata50c541.19$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.64,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Arthur Fery71c534.5$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.582,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Rinky Hijikata56c508.93$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28548858%283 W · 205 L+24.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Rinky Hijikata36c499.8$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.814,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Arthur Fery48c492.18$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.312,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Rinky Hijikata53c492$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.761,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Arthur Fery44c491.71$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.322,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Arthur Fery45c396.43$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Rinky Hijikata66c394.93$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Rinky Hijikata52c386.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Rinky Hijikata53c377.36$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.81,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Rinky Hijikata55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Rinky Hijikata61c352$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.371,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Rinky Hijikata52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.970752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Arthur Fery62c287.13$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.863,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Rinky Hijikata52c285.71$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.571,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Rinky Hijikata61c274.02$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16715155%83 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Rinky Hijikata49c266.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.511,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rinky Hijikata74c257.14$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.285,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Arthur Fery52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Arthur Fery44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14020535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Arthur Fery28c244.93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3585348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Arthur Fery28c244.93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.3565952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…fbbebacked Arthur Fery75c232.78$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Rinky Hijikata25c213$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.251,45645.1%656 W · 800 L+42.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Rinky Hijikata53c208.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.672,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Arthur Fery29c208.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8831941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb53…3d15backed Rinky Hijikata35c198.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Rinky Hijikata56c196.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Rinky Hijikata51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9679040.6%321 W · 469 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Rinky Hijikata52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Rinky Hijikata61c190.07$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9435248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Rinky Hijikata27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Rinky Hijikata56c178.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017957.5%103 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Rinky Hijikata51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8778…fe54backed Rinky Hijikata57c171.7$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.872240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Arthur Fery51c166.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.556,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Rinky Hijikata44c161$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3434847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Arthur Fery38c158.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.479646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Arthur Fery42c156.91$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4592138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Rinky Hijikata61c154.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.051,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Rinky Hijikata49c141.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.316146.6%75 W · 86 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Fery48c141.37$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.963,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Rinky Hijikata72c137.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Rinky Hijikata75c133.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Rinky Hijikata58c126.59$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9165346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Rinky Hijikata52c125.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.921,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Arthur Fery48c119.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.447854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe648…675fbacked Rinky Hijikata51c119.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1910340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Rinky Hijikata52c115.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6816645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Arthur Fery77c106.84$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8415752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Arthur Fery47c106.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.365,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Arthur Fery46c103.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9620259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf04b…4778backed Arthur Fery39c102.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.355740.4%23 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Rinky Hijikata56c101.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5733352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Arthur Fery48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5258745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Rinky Hijikata53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Rinky Hijikata52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5269051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7538…6ca6backed Rinky Hijikata49c98.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.482948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Rinky Hijikata52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040254.5%219 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked Rinky Hijikata53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Rinky Hijikata51c92.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1239238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Rinky Hijikata52c91.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.195543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.