TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1aa…9359

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 205 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
ITF Knokke-Heist: Martha Matoula vs Irina Balusbacked Martha Matoula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galanbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$902.26
ITF Hechingen: Nuria Brancaccio vs Nastasja Schunkbacked Nuria Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$91.05
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
ITF Knokke-Heist: Gabriela Ce vs Jenny Limbacked Gabriela Ce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.26
ITF Gran Canaria: Laura Pigossi vs Caroline Wernerbacked Laura Pigossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$23.8
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Olle Wallin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.13
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.3
Liberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.28
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.38
Iasi Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Clara Burelbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.49
Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+337.6%+$41.72
Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.15
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+171%+$39.81
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
ITF Torino: Antonia Stoyanov vs Astrid Lew Yan Foonbacked Antonia Stoyanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$60.54
Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valientebacked Izan Almazan Valiente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$66.3
Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulicbacked Philip Sekulic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$69.67
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Rierabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$28.25
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$41.26
Rome: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Martina Trevisanbacked Aurora Zantedeschi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Lincoln: James McCabe vs Bernard Tomicbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Showing 25 of 205 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.78
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.95
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.46
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$72
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$117.7
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$147.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$53.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick79cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Joventutbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$29.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Mineiro vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.