Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gran Canaria: Laura Pigossi vs Caroline Werner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb36f4ece257a9bb8db6ed6cf828c0da6172fdd1d47a2befea3540fe8d5b32c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laura Pigossiof Laura Pigossi, Caroline Werner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Caroline Werner | 42c | 811.57$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.55 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Caroline Werner | 48c | 599.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laura Pigossi | 59c | 525.57$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Laura Pigossi | 52c | 388.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Laura Pigossi | 58c | 330.76$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Caroline Werner | 42c | 329.47$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Laura Pigossi | 52c | 130.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Laura Pigossi | 45c | 118.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Laura Pigossi | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Laura Pigossi | 73c | 88.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Caroline Werner | 38c | 46.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Laura Pigossi | 44c | 43.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Laura Pigossi | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Laura Pigossi | 41c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Laura Pigossi | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Caroline Werner | 42c | 29.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Laura Pigossi | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Laura Pigossi | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Caroline Werner | 57c | 20.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Laura Pigossi | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Laura Pigossi | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.