TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd79e…d969

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.46
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.37
Prague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumichbacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$125.58
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$45.53
ITF W15 Astana 5 Women: Haruna Arakawa vs Ha Eum Leebacked Haruna Arakawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$68.1
ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ida Wobkerbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.29
Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungellitibacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Hamburg: Marvin Moeller vs Niels McDonaldbacked Marvin Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
ITF W15 Bucharest 3 Women: Marta Lombardini vs Cristiana Nicoleta Todonibacked Marta Lombardini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.12
ITF Southaven: Clement Chidekh vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.45
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$54.02
Plovdiv 2: Adrian Andreev vs Petr Nesterovbacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$40.62
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.36
Plovdiv 2: Samuele Pieri vs Gerard Campana Leebacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yanevabacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.28
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
ITF Tianjin: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Shihomi Li Xuan Leongbacked Chengyiyi Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$53.11
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$42.38
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.64
Warsaw: Susan Bandecchi vs Veronika Podrezbacked Veronika Podrez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.09
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Arouca vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.09
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.