TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under41c7,344$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,305.6911645.7%53 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c6,147$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.893,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c5,967$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.822,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under65c4,600$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.056764.2%43 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Over66c4,552$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over56c3,585$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under59c3,071$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.1214637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over34c2,239$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.6676941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under69c1,706$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.731450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.671758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over65c1,644$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.9713547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over38c1,527$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.361,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c1,500$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0101,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c1,470$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.3266150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Under79c1,236$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over69c1,195$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.610463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7b…f9e6backed Over60c1,154$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Over29c1,136$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.953432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over67c1,099$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9797346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Under31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under72c912.25$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.75440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Under59c847.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.714669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over40c847.29$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.721540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under34c808$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2838144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under36c646.22$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.581,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over45c550$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.53336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4ce…b27fbacked Over65c531.14$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over11c493.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.263545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under60c488.08$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2335944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under65c470.94$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1636761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over31c449$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9610839.8%43 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under49c411.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.854360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under35c394.01$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1118940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c382.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under34c367$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.221,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under34c367$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.221,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Under58c330$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under62c323.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.622445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002020%4 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c322$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1888048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over59c316.06$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.482,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under52c305.14$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5232436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under69c291.08$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under66c286.88$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5670239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under33c276$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.318732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x859f…0f26backed Over62c270.97$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Over28c228.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c214$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.249050%45 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over18c206.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1456849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c205.12$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.643050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4ae…1b3dbacked Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x539c…29b1backed Over57c199.48$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over36c188$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6127554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over25c179.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.139923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd79e…d969backed Over47c172.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over65c154.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4565535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9912336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f65…ec56backed Over67c145.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.41580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over39c137$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4314641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over39c118.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6337750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under61c115.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.181838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under56c111$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.638952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c108.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3985260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under62c98.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1145348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under47c86.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1336356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over45c85.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over26c84.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.972615.4%4 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under67c83.56$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.758061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under63c83.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.793666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under32c79.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3979354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under70c79.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0529470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under34c74.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c56.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1144156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under68c55.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4981440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under36c53.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.248840.9%36 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under34c49.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over34c47.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under32c46.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4239357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under35c45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.253145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over27c41.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.247649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e6b…172abacked Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53c8…7f69backed Over65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254045%18 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under53c37.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.486858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Over62c36.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.614542.2%19 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under61c36.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.096100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Over65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-71.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.865549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8227…f436backed Over77c23.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under64c22.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.233672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ceb…4716backed Under66c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.485162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Under76c19.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.713158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.