Europa Conference League · resolved market
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf1d92220acf4fe51eb9344994bf67e370986d902bf4a85db3fd20e813613c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e3…dbedbacked Yes | 58c | 4,064$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 3,609$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.82 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…b27fbacked No | 43c | 744.55$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 297.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 56c | 227.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 23c | 200.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 171.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 57c | 165.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 42c | 143.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 118.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 98.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 57c | 98.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 21c | 75.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 63.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 37c | 61.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 61.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Yes | 58c | 26.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 61c | 25.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Under won
- Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Team to AdvanceSport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.