TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,001 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over6c1,505$85 inLost-$85.172,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under66c1,119$738 inWon+$380.395064%32 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c1,059$355 inLost-$354.732,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over42c496.99$209 inLost-$208.7413547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over6c426.47$27 inLost-$26.869923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over29c344.83$100 inLost-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c284$165 inWon+$119.281,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c261.98$114 inLost-$114.3665535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c247.06$176 inWon+$71.32,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under59c230$136 inWon+$94.3837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over43c199.96$86 inLost-$85.9812358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under68c188.97$128 inWon+$60.981440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under58c133.53$77 inWon+$56.081,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under57c124.09$71 inWon+$53.1365549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under57c98.03$56 inWon+$42.095851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad7…6117backed Over15c77.33$12 inLost-$11.640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c71.85$41 inWon+$30.9697346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over37c64.89$24 inLost-$24.012615.4%4 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under57c58.14$33 inWon+$251,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over41c50$21 inLost-$20.544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under58c43.14$25 inWon+$18.1215352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under80c42.5$34 inWon+$8.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c40.48$17 inLost-$1726647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under58c40$23 inWon+$16.847649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under56c34$19 inWon+$14.9638952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over41c27.57$11 inLost-$11.313450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Under59c23.73$14 inWon+$9.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Under59c23.73$14 inWon+$9.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ceb…4716backed Under69c21$14 inWon+$6.515162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03dc…64fdbacked Under59c20$12 inWon+$8.25766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.