La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5539ec7351b133c58717813036da83e5f384f50bfc2fc9c50c1384d489a12206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,056,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,057,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,056,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9319…6410backed Yes | 49c | 1,351,480$663,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663,412.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 50c | 198,039$98,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.89 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 50c | 177,000$88,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,500 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…308abacked Yes | 46c | 122,880$56,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,524.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 54c | 107,581$58,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,489.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…2ee5backed No | 51c | 93,941$47,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,489.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 52c | 93,707$48,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,979.46 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 52c | 84,400$43,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,512 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 52c | 83,054$43,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,870.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 57,409$30,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,275.33 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 50c | 52,333$26,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,166.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 51c | 48,536$24,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,782.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 52c | 47,473$24,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,836.41 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 53c | 46,578$24,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,038.45 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 50c | 41,139$20,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,521.56 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 50c | 35,744$17,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,840.07 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 52c | 35,342$18,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,964.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 33,801$16,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,646.76 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 33,650$15,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,142.53 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 30,001$15,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,864.84 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 28,839$16,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,518.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 55c | 27,832$15,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,631.22 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 52c | 27,638$14,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,266.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 52c | 26,594$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,894.07 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…cc4bbacked No | 52c | 24,993$12,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,035.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 68c | 21,888$14,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,110.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 53c | 21,601$11,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,152.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 50c | 20,202$10,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,031.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Yes | 50c | 19,448$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 49c | 19,396$9,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,882.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 51c | 17,850$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,746.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 52c | 17,450$9,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,424.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 49c | 15,582$7,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,923.54 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 47c | 12,916$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,070.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 52c | 11,885$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.83 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Yes | 51c | 11,188$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 55c | 10,910$5,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 52c | 10,550$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 10,483$5,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.33 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…9ea1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 9,592$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.57 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 9,125$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.24 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 53c | 8,159$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 50c | 8,041$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.29 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 50c | 8,017$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Yes | 28c | 6,879$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 52c | 6,850$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 6,606$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.06 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 53c | 6,366$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.91 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 52c | 6,300$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 59c | 6,283$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.91 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 46c | 5,900$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 48c | 5,659$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 5,445$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.3 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 47c | 5,108$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 54c | 4,852$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 55c | 4,789$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.4 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 54c | 4,707$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.22 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 38c | 4,498$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.41 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 4,449$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.44 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Yes | 31c | 4,160$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 17c | 4,118$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 37c | 4,020$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.77 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 49c | 3,936$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 38c | 3,888$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…52adbacked Yes | 19c | 3,215$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 54c | 3,165$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.35 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 63c | 3,142$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 39c | 2,991$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.79 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 49c | 2,921$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 63c | 2,838$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 2,746$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.46 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 63c | 2,555$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 54c | 2,463$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked No | 63c | 2,313$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.26 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,281$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 2,250$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.76 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 45c | 2,145$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.52 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…745bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 46c | 2,048$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…cf29backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 52c | 1,964$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 52c | 1,926$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.08 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 1,907$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.94 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.