TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa354…22eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7358.9%43 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,500
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.77
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,760.21
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+232.8%+$116.42
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$546.22
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$14.05
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$376.47
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2281.8%18 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$13.37
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$221.3
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$30.05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.8%+$3.93
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.8%+$13.28
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.5%+$8.73
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+36.2%+$14.49
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64.8%+$35.66
Will Infinex launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$149.35
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.7%+$12.34
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+48%+$84.97
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$51.19
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+32.2%+$1,608.75
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$35.91
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$64.22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.63
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+124%+$37.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72%+$133.22
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.77
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$13.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$50.11
All 20 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,292.59
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.36
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$185.71
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$538.92
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$86
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$268.04
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$9.52
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+41.8%+$25.07
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$10
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.4%+$26.9
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Bdd (Gwak Bo-seong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59.2%+$118.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$31.41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$31.66
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$234.44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$190.01
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$94.22
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+113.2%+$22.64
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,309Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$1,564.4
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,316.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$896.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.