Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf1428e77c59ab008fc326ef7d527ed6a3fd8bb76effe1358e5351919816993
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 64c | 2,187$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.94 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Over | 37c | 1,557$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.76 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 32c | 619.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.84 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 56c | 568.3$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 36c | 417.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.53 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 46c | 390.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.75 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8a76backed Over | 44c | 332.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Under | 67c | 311$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Over | 28c | 283.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over | 32c | 243$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 33c | 238.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Over | 34c | 214.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…179bbacked Under | 54c | 184.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…7dd5backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Under | 69c | 131$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Under | 69c | 124.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Under | 59c | 102.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Under | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 64c | 97.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…60d7backed Under | 55c | 91.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Under | 67c | 88.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 16c | 82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 42c | 81.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under | 66c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…30dbbacked Under | 69c | 78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Over | 34c | 74.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Under | 41c | 68.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 52.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…a946backed Under | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Under | 52c | 35.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc051…a04bbacked Under | 67c | 32.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Over | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…33e2backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6234…15c9backed Under | 72c | 18.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…5fedbacked Under | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 2?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 4?T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.