TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under29c8,922$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.191,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over71c4,500$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3058336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…6448backed Over57c2,325$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.931625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Under43c2,325$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Under43c1,820$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Over57c1,820$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.61050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Under34c1,709$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58525547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Over71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43517561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over68c1,396$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.533253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0965…da73backed Over70c1,185$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.512090%18 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+52%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Over32c1,085$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.8928942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Under30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under31c970$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.744335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under32c837$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9639749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked Under48c542.98$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.095440.7%22 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over71c477.55$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5726155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under33c476.05$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.314852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over63c472$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.149748.5%47 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over69c371$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.251,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1120649%101 W · 105 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9614840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9624649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under35c288.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7274…054cbacked Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.783330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb51…359dbacked Over71c263.05$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.283458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03fa…02bbbacked Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.271275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3046…bf7bbacked Over62c182.26$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under29c178$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.841,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Over71c175.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.863360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x750c…2fe3backed Over71c175.32$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.843661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under30c172.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.841,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under61c151$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.041,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Over71c141.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5117745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c2…f0a4backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855658.9%33 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3230…782dbacked Over72c139.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.751850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd854…92d9backed Under51c124.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204e…55eabacked Over70c122.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.126956.5%39 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Over71c116.83$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.881172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over65c107.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0756060.4%338 W · 222 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Under50c107.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Over71c106.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8424960.2%150 W · 99 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Over71c100.38$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3813857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.242751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38a4…d83bbacked Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a6…159ebacked Over32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Over50c99.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over71c84.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9116357.1%93 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under55c76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4253955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under31c73.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.871,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed Over69c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.638760.9%53 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.429253.3%49 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc31…431cbacked Over66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.820171.1%143 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over53c65.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6822758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under37c64.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.887728.6%22 W · 55 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x834d…29ecbacked Under32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under64c62.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Over48c54.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.139466%62 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Under70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Over69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.552151.8%270 W · 251 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb1…dad1backed Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba7…6c85backed Over70c49.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.652560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under38c48.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.282,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under45c46.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2418350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d9…3a91backed Under68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2513134.4%45 W · 86 L-14.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcefa…40bbbacked Over32c40.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.746462.5%40 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a36…74b8backed Over59c40.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.333246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+79.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24351.2%22 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76a9…2907backed Under30c39.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Over67c37.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4717755.9%99 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a51…f1b7backed Over71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.214052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Under45c33.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c59…e3bbbacked Under61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.382673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafa5…a763backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.176966.7%46 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3444…726ebacked Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172085%17 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d3c…a356backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over40c27.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Over62c24.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192560%15 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7994…c8c3backed Over70c21.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.353966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba74…e022backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.810263.7%65 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03fd…28debacked Over71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeaa…e2d0backed Over70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7112752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.