TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$638,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$756,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Dplus KIA39c60,410$23,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,651.9764155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Dplus KIA38c26,637$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00025751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed T160c25,905$15,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,362.6581143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd7…211cbacked T159c25,556$15,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,439.271741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA35c25,521$8,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,916.671,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed T165c22,851$14,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,010.2417949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dplus KIA23c22,658$5,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,319.241,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Dplus KIA35c20,697$7,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,243.784544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked T158c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4006552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Dplus KIA37c19,548$7,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,311.9925446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed Dplus KIA24c15,003$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,543.69741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f47…d0a3backed Dplus KIA4c14,500$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515923.3%3 W · 89 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Dplus KIA0c11,333$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.55833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed T160c11,150$6,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,460.0121137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed T163c11,051$6,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.8411750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed T160c10,354$6,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.911,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Dplus KIA40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf80…7783backed Dplus KIA36c9,500$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed T159c9,298$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,790.2923447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed T166c8,962$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.0939851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed T164c8,948$5,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.352650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed T165c8,585$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.7514839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Dplus KIA1c8,565$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.086297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA36c7,788$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.412,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed T163c7,777$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.4731153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Dplus KIA23c7,192$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.59439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked T164c7,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Dplus KIA46c5,895$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.314644.5%65 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Dplus KIA47c5,471$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.051,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed T169c5,220$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.4225547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Dplus KIA38c5,203$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9774445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed T162c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed T164c4,822$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.0418451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed T171c4,683$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.7324065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Dplus KIA1c4,500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.57869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed Dplus KIA1c4,111$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5428350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA12c4,085$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.062,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Dplus KIA41c3,555$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.031,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA34c3,293$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.561,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked T158c3,126$1,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.098359%49 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T165c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9259558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.983,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Dplus KIA13c2,940$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.5339239%153 W · 239 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed T165c2,831$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.8539749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Dplus KIA42c2,805$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.5569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA14c2,614$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.851,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Dplus KIA12c2,588$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a71…d52ebacked Dplus KIA12c2,572$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Dplus KIA17c2,502$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.161,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Dplus KIA36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9414041.4%58 W · 82 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed T165c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.693850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T176c2,273$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.731,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4989…8ff0backed T171c2,063$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5412356.9%70 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked T178c2,016$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.791,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked Dplus KIA18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36014840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Dplus KIA24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.981,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Dplus KIA39c1,900$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.811,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c3a…2296backed Dplus KIA3c1,884$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.111533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked T154c1,845$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.1815246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked T160c1,833$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.3324858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed T154c1,755$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.1455639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Dplus KIA17c1,632$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7344843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked T165c1,540$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.3828166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Dplus KIA16c1,506$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0828942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Dplus KIA35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52548440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed T168c1,473$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.3511140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Dplus KIA35c1,457$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51017537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dplus KIA4c1,452$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.852,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked T162c1,443$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6878050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Dplus KIA4c1,441$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6540435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed T161c1,354$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.151,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked T160c1,350$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.59743.3%42 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Dplus KIA33c1,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4292,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Dplus KIA39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Dplus KIA39c1,277$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.0520348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed T164c1,251$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.297536%27 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Dplus KIA36c1,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed T166c1,237$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.326556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Dplus KIA40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48042924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Dplus KIA4c1,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5216050.6%81 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Dplus KIA37c1,164$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.719042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed T161c1,152$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2645248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Dplus KIA6c1,096$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6176639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Dplus KIA23c1,080$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6753640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Dplus KIA42c1,020$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.9526942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed Dplus KIA3c1,003$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011945.4%54 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7689…af2abacked Dplus KIA19c1,003$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1817535.4%62 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Dplus KIA2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed T158c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42075738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T163c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Dplus KIA34c1,000$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.423439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Dplus KIA4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed T161c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Dplus KIA7c954.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7348157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7274…054cbacked Dplus KIA4c951.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.063330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked T162c917.25$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.8210352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed Dplus KIA5c876.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8211736.8%43 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed T153c871.06$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3730243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Dplus KIA38c848.71$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.381,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Dplus KIA39c825.3$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9185652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.