TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Dplus KIA44c30,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,799.954544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked T156c13,036$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,300.1319146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a3…9fffbacked T156c8,976$5,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,026.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA44c8,612$3,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,832.781,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked T156c7,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA35c5,519$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.833,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Dplus KIA37c5,371$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.0525751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed T156c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9963546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed T156c4,282$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.6927346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Dplus KIA44c3,400$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.9817537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed T167c2,842$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.917536%27 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Dplus KIA44c2,727$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.272552%13 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T171c2,721$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.371,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Dplus KIA45c2,657$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.385028%14 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked T156c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Dplus KIA44c2,471$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.7123439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Dplus KIA33c2,207$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.3425547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T156c1,607$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T156c1,470$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.6726360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed T157c1,270$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.682554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dplus KIA44c1,252$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.811,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Dplus KIA30c1,007$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.0713136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked T167c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67031849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9702…1042backed T155c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T155c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed T155c938.7$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.191,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked T155c910$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.528150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked T167c747.06$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5210352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked T157c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3991729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA43c599.95$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.971,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed T157c529.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0944335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked T176c526.54$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Dplus KIA44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28014650%73 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked T157c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed T155c456.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3413531.9%43 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed T155c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22024648.4%119 W · 127 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed T156c369.64$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20774949.7%372 W · 377 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked T157c343.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19682161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked T166c302.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed T156c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16826354%142 W · 121 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Dplus KIA44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16816251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Dplus KIA34c290$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.411244.6%50 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed T158c261.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15326453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked T156c232.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…f0cfbacked T156c225$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265650%28 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked T157c189.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.495742.1%24 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked T156c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked T158c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Dplus KIA34c169.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.12,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed T157c168.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfae…8b06backed Dplus KIA30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.677742.9%33 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked T156c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Dplus KIA44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6420051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa085…7fccbacked Dplus KIA44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6417159.6%102 W · 69 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d6…3b10backed T163c112.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.742650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Dplus KIA45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked T156c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Dplus KIA28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1414330.8%44 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Dplus KIA45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5522930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7799…0bd5backed Dplus KIA44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+68%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed T163c91.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.919748.5%47 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed T157c91.19$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9825236.9%93 W · 159 L+1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed T156c91.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5119251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d1…68babacked T156c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed T156c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed T156c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019055.3%105 W · 85 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff16…804ebacked Dplus KIA45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8913849.3%68 W · 70 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed T157c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026556.2%149 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed T157c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Dplus KIA45c83.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6613940.3%56 W · 83 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Dplus KIA29c81.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.517028.6%20 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed T166c72.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815354.2%83 W · 70 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed T169c72.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Dplus KIA44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…fb2dbacked T157c68.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.791414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-58.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dplus KIA43c64.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.821,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked T156c64.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…48d8backed T156c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Dplus KIA31c52.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2428837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed T157c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed T156c51.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Dplus KIA32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8611833.9%40 W · 78 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x76a9…2907backed T154c49.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.991752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked T156c47.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.359538.9%37 W · 58 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa06…5e96backed T160c45.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5140…a151backed T156c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.254257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b5…5414backed Dplus KIA45c44.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.682560%15 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd070…efe5backed T156c43.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed T156c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.420239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Dplus KIA45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA40c39.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.581,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Dplus KIA44c38.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.81758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed T161c37.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9631153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d59…3217backed T156c35.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked T155c33.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5564146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Dplus KIA45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3322548%108 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed T168c31.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.621953%116 W · 103 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecd…7fd6backed Dplus KIA42c30.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.379454.3%51 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Dplus KIA44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed T163c26.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0754054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.