TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x480e…71e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
581
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT26453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 264 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$237.86
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.3
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.02
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.05
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$234.95
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.99
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$73.65
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$573.42
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$192.25
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$35.3
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+106%+$219.2
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$132.52
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$253.81
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.82
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.02
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.05
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$274.6
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.75
Showing 25 of 264 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT13560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$190.11
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$283.38
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Alastair Graybacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.1
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$630.82
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$97.38
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105.21
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72%+$284.54
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.13
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.35
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$246.89
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$133.48
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$788.27
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Kei Nishikoribacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$339.52
Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$93.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.75
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.08
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.02
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.21
Set Handicap: Brooksby (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)backed Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.46
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.87
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+82%+$163.91
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT9149.5%45 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.38
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$280.97
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$525.53
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.53
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.2
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.29
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.95
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$224.9
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.77
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$486
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$173.64
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.8
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+426.3%+$1,065.79
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$399.97
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$110.81
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$183.65
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$741
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+46.3%+$346.44
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.1%+$224.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$693
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+70.3%+$210.76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+48.8%+$92.11
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37%+$270
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+46.4%+$376.16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+45.8%+$183.22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100.9%+$217.91
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$85.9
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$332
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$325
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$338.56
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+124.9%+$249.74
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$144
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.65
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.35
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$379
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.93
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$267.52
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.12
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.74
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$177.45
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.13
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$232.92
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$95.1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No Run · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.45
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$34.96
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.38
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$165.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$149.59
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$125.1
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$83.39
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$248
Valorant: Team Liquid vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$295.96
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.8%+$302.63
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$172.94
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$93.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$216
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$305.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.65
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$203.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$156.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$214
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.