Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1313ad6c8b02950bd0570b23904ccf95c281e3e81d7533f029c43e3542125360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex de Minaurof Luciano Darderi, Alex de Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $750,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $868,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $750,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 43,693$23,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,672.53 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Luciano Darderi | 1c | 30,191$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.14 | 1,140 | 45.4%518 W · 622 L | -34.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…03a3backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 25,880$13,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,681.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Luciano Darderi | 49c | 24,627$12,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,067.46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Luciano Darderi | 41c | 22,319$9,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,086.83 | 1,211 | 49.1%595 W · 616 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Luciano Darderi | 47c | 21,650$10,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,181.26 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luciano Darderi | 11c | 17,984$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.51 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 17,809$13,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.74 | 579 | 49.6%287 W · 292 L | -32.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 16,711$8,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.43 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Luciano Darderi | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luciano Darderi | 22c | 14,654$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.99 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Luciano Darderi | 18c | 14,638$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.06 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex de Minaur | 59c | 10,633$6,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.06 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 9,849$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.63 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Luciano Darderi | 50c | 9,670$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.76 | 674 | 49.6%334 W · 340 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 442 | 63.6%281 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…bd59backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luciano Darderi | 28c | 9,039$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.78 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Luciano Darderi | 33c | 8,942$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.85 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Alex de Minaur | 71c | 7,980$5,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.81 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Alex de Minaur | 80c | 7,614$6,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.01 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Luciano Darderi | 49c | 7,595$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Luciano Darderi | 47c | 7,378$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.65 | 1,694 | 50.5%856 W · 838 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Luciano Darderi | 24c | 7,013$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.51 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Alex de Minaur | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…b335backed Luciano Darderi | 1c | 6,678$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Alex de Minaur | 75c | 5,552$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.54 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Luciano Darderi | 35c | 5,258$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.18 | 382 | 38.2%146 W · 236 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 4,713$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.6 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 4,437$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.3 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Luciano Darderi | 50c | 4,410$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Alex de Minaur | 77c | 4,267$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.12 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alex de Minaur | 63c | 4,158$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.94 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Luciano Darderi | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.93 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Luciano Darderi | 48c | 3,745$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.59 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Luciano Darderi | 47c | 3,671$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.3 | 787 | 36%283 W · 504 L | +36.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alex de Minaur | 73c | 3,442$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.46 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luciano Darderi | 25c | 3,396$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.71 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Luciano Darderi | 47c | 3,382$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.39 | 2,548 | 38.5%982 W · 1,566 L | +96.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alex de Minaur | 57c | 3,356$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.53 | 953 | 68.2%650 W · 303 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Alex de Minaur | 61c | 3,242$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.23 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Alex de Minaur | 56c | 3,203$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.38 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Alex de Minaur | 60c | 3,043$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.95 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Luciano Darderi | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…570abacked Luciano Darderi | 26c | 2,986$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.45 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luciano Darderi | 15c | 2,894$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.34 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Luciano Darderi | 47c | 2,873$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.96 | 2,223 | 36.9%821 W · 1,402 L | +40.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Luciano Darderi | 49c | 2,594$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.39 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Luciano Darderi | 51c | 2,341$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.78 | 654 | 39.9%261 W · 393 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Luciano Darderi | 27c | 2,178$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.34 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Luciano Darderi | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luciano Darderi | 23c | 2,043$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.91 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Luciano Darderi | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Luciano Darderi | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Luciano Darderi | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex de Minaur | 71c | 1,917$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.93 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Alex de Minaur | 63c | 1,699$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.18 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.11 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Alex de Minaur | 51c | 1,640$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.72 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cc…e2eebacked Alex de Minaur | 52c | 1,638$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Luciano Darderi | 32c | 1,633$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.66 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Luciano Darderi | 38c | 1,552$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.68 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Luciano Darderi | 48c | 1,546$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 1,132 | 42.8%485 W · 647 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked Luciano Darderi | 9c | 1,414$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Luciano Darderi | 3c | 1,391$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Luciano Darderi | 8c | 1,381$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…b74abacked Alex de Minaur | 51c | 1,363$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…6c9fbacked Alex de Minaur | 52c | 1,338$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Luciano Darderi | 20c | 1,316$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Luciano Darderi | 22c | 1,311$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luciano Darderi | 25c | 1,286$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.23 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Luciano Darderi | 48c | 1,277$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.76 | 431 | 42%181 W · 250 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Alex de Minaur | 58c | 1,267$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.91 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked Alex de Minaur | 71c | 1,263$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.43 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Alex de Minaur | 53c | 1,205$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.15 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Luciano Darderi | 11c | 1,184$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 130 | 13.8%18 W · 112 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luciano Darderi | 28c | 1,109$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.38 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Luciano Darderi | 9c | 1,103$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 1,050$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 913 | 50.2%458 W · 455 L | -21.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Luciano Darderi | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Luciano Darderi | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Luciano Darderi | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luciano Darderi | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex de Minaur | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…c59fbacked Alex de Minaur | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alex de Minaur | 69c | 903.09$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.16 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Luciano Darderi | 32c | 880.29$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex de Minaur | 69c | 876.86$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 1,286 | 56.8%731 W · 555 L | -16.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…7d9fbacked Alex de Minaur | 77c | 833.77$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…f7a9backed Luciano Darderi | 13c | 828.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +9,940.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Luciano Darderi | 6c | 800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Luciano Darderi | 30c | 800$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a4c4backed Alex de Minaur | 78c | 797.01$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Alex de Minaur | 50c | 796.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.52 | 1,889 | 44.8%846 W · 1,043 L | +36.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930a…2b42backed Luciano Darderi | 7c | 770$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Alex de Minaur | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Luciano Darderi | 2c | 752.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 196 | 37.2%73 W · 123 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Darderi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Darderi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Darderi vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Luciano Darderi vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.