TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x902c…b335

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NHL at 49 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT200%0 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.65
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.28
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.21
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cinabacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.22
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.42
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Mayar Sherif vs Greet Minnenbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Camila Osorio vs Panna Udvardybacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.37
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.63
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$27.39
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$46.95
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.61
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.06
Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Portland Fire vs. Indiana Feverbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.